Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.302513 5.119102 6.027062 7.108398 8.357895 9.753006 11.425166
2025-09-07 3.091434 4.130779 5.404996 7.069428 9.172027 11.724447 15.040156
2025-09-14 2.246272 3.316167 4.741017 6.750394 9.479087 13.019154 17.915872
2025-09-21 1.775000 2.855716 4.400121 6.722230 10.068603 14.649500 21.310810
2025-09-28 1.436643 2.498555 4.115038 6.686816 10.589200 16.182647 24.667937
2025-10-05 1.283006 2.385050 4.154814 7.106568 11.780174 18.734922 29.651825
2025-10-12 1.119183 2.218384 4.076069 7.315534 12.652222 20.873276 34.187579
2025-10-19 1.001770 2.106832 4.063788 7.616680 13.681365 23.315180 39.352848
2025-10-26 0.860375 1.922340 3.894157 7.621546 14.212358 25.002986 43.455856
2025-11-02 0.709467 1.688307 3.596833 7.356491 14.245589 25.871376 46.291678
2025-11-09 0.587346 1.487349 3.328037 7.101567 14.256103 26.682007 49.065433
2025-11-16 0.512943 1.373918 3.211710 7.114786 14.740006 28.319339 53.320857
2025-11-23 0.447906 1.270611 3.104565 7.140251 15.263460 30.092658 57.988564
2025-11-30 0.384002 1.156133 2.955811 7.061796 15.579293 31.519309 62.153965
2025-12-07 0.313115 1.006761 2.704315 6.731892 15.361371 31.944115 64.545424
2025-12-14 0.271918 0.926463 2.598032 6.700493 15.737590 33.499441 69.096234
2025-12-21 0.236416 0.853304 2.496289 6.664204 16.095718 35.039693 73.711378
2025-12-28 0.227346 0.856789 2.586386 7.082398 17.458819 38.633198 82.439685
2026-01-04 0.209281 0.828004 2.588544 7.290644 18.381251 41.409831 89.754367
2026-01-11 0.196600 0.813686 2.626859 7.590858 19.532666 44.721278 98.301472
2026-01-18 0.174248 0.760838 2.550914 7.595700 20.013865 46.687976 104.296536
2026-01-25 0.146150 0.679302 2.379140 7.331439 19.845078 47.283663 107.567128
2026-02-01 0.122562 0.606827 2.219994 7.077284 19.671175 47.848250 110.796388